Saturday, July 23, 2011
Austerity Program
We must get serious and take the hits needed!
Looks to me like we need a real Austerity Program for possibly as long as 10 years, depending on the economic level we can reach. This means cuts in spending of about 10% per year each year of the program, with every sector taking a real hit, except debt service. If the economy rises substantially in the meanwhile, rescaling some of these reductions could take place, and national debt reductions could be significant.
It should also mean rooting out fraud and abuse across the board, eliminating a number of expensive but "nice to have" government services, eliminating many donations to foreign nations, and reducing our overseas forces to a minimum. Many advanced weapons systems would have to be put on a "go slow" or even canceled outright until our economy recovers sufficiently to afford them. This could mean a very serious reduction in our military spread over the ten years, again, unless economic activity heats up substantially much sooner.
The Solomon's choices residing in Medicare, Medicaid, Obamacare and Social Security will have to be made in order to reduce both their outlays and their entitlements very substantially. This will be the most probable area of failure of our system to cope. I am not sure what means testing would do for Medicare, but it should be explored. Raising the elegibility level for SS to 68 or 69 may help, but other reductions will be needed.
I am sure that eliminating costly restrictions on exploration, production, and use of our oil, coal, and natural gas would have a strong economic benefit too. Perhaps the EPA needs to be scaled back substantially in its efforts to strangle our economy for the benefit of desert bugs and forest beetles while loading our energy sector with massive costs we now cannot afford.
We must get serious and take the hits needed!
Looks to me like we need a real Austerity Program for possibly as long as 10 years, depending on the economic level we can reach. This means cuts in spending of about 10% per year each year of the program, with every sector taking a real hit, except debt service. If the economy rises substantially in the meanwhile, rescaling some of these reductions could take place, and national debt reductions could be significant.
It should also mean rooting out fraud and abuse across the board, eliminating a number of expensive but "nice to have" government services, eliminating many donations to foreign nations, and reducing our overseas forces to a minimum. Many advanced weapons systems would have to be put on a "go slow" or even canceled outright until our economy recovers sufficiently to afford them. This could mean a very serious reduction in our military spread over the ten years, again, unless economic activity heats up substantially much sooner.
The Solomon's choices residing in Medicare, Medicaid, Obamacare and Social Security will have to be made in order to reduce both their outlays and their entitlements very substantially. This will be the most probable area of failure of our system to cope. I am not sure what means testing would do for Medicare, but it should be explored. Raising the elegibility level for SS to 68 or 69 may help, but other reductions will be needed.
I am sure that eliminating costly restrictions on exploration, production, and use of our oil, coal, and natural gas would have a strong economic benefit too. Perhaps the EPA needs to be scaled back substantially in its efforts to strangle our economy for the benefit of desert bugs and forest beetles while loading our energy sector with massive costs we now cannot afford.
Labels: Austerity, Economy, Spending, Taxes, Taxes. National Debt
Saturday, January 22, 2011
Obama Report Card
Report Card on Obama's First Two Years
By K.E. Campbell ( with permision)
Two years ago today, Barack Obama was inaugurated as president of the United States. Are you better off today than you were two years ago?
Numbers don't lie, and here are the data on the impact he has had on the lives of Americans:
January 2001/ Current/ % chg/ Source
Avg. retail price/gallon gas in U.S. (regular conventional)
$1.83/ $3.104/ 69.6%/ 1
Selected commodities:
Crude oil, European Brent (barrel)
$43.48/ $99.02/ 127.7%/ 2
Crude oil, West TX Inter. (barrel)
$38.74/ $91.38/ 135.9%/ 2
Natural gas, Henry Hub, $ per MMbtu
$4.85/ $4.48/ -7.6%/ 2
Gold: London (per troy oz.)
$853.25/ $1,369.50/ 60.5%/ 2
Corn, No.2 yellow, Central IL
$3.56/ $6.33/ 78.1%/ 2
Soybeans, No. 1 yellow, IL
$9.66/ $13.75/ 42.3%/ 2
Sugar, cane, raw, world, lb. fob
$13.37/ $35.39/ 164.7%/ 2
Consumer Price Index (for all urban consumers)
211.1/ 219.2/ 3.8%/ 3
Producer Price Index: finished goods
170.3/ 183.0/ 7.5%/ 3
Producer Price Index: all commodities
171.0/ 189.9/ 11.1%/ 3
Unemployment rate, non-farm, overall
7.6%/ 9.4%/ 23.7%/ 3
Unemployment rate, blacks
12.6%/ 15.8%/ 25.4%/ 3
Number of unemployed
11,616,000/ 14,485,000/ 24.7%/ 3
Number of fed. employees, ex. uniformed military (curr = 12/10 prelim)
2,779,000/ 2,840,000/ 2.2%/ 3
Real median household income (2008 vs 2009)
$50,112/ $49,777/ -0.7%/ 4
Number of food stamp recipients (curr = 10/10)
31,983,716/ 43,200,878/ 35.1%/ 5
Number of unemployment benefit recipients (curr = 12/10)
7,526,598/ 9,193,838/ 22.2%/ 6
Number of long-term unemployed, in millions
2.6/ 6.4/ 146.2%/ 3
Poverty rate, individuals (2008 vs 2009)
13.2%/ 14.3%/ 8.3%/ 4
People in poverty in U.S., in millions (2008 vs 2009)
39.8/ 43.6/ 9.5%/ 4
House price index (current = Q3 2010)
198.7/ 192.7/ -3.0%/ 7
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index: 20 city composite (curr = 10/10)
146.4/ 145.3/ -0.8%/ 8
Number of properties subject of foreclosure filings, in millions
2.82/ 2.8/ 1.7%/ 9
DJIA (12,403 on 6/3/08, date BHO clinched Dem. nomination)
7,949/ 11,825/ 48.8%/ 2
NASDAQ (2,480 on 6/3/08)
1,441/ 2,725/ 89.1%/ 2
S&P 500 (1,378 on 6/3/08)
80/ 1,282/ 59.2%/ 2
Global Dow
1,356/ 2,153/ 58.8%/ 2
U.S. rank in Economic Freedom World Rankings
5/ 9/ n/a/ 10
Consumer Confidence Index (curr = 12/10)
37.7/ 52.5/ 39.3%/ 11
Present Situation Index (curr = 12/10)
29.9/ 23.5/ -21.4%/ 11
Failed banks (curr = 2010 + 2011 to date)
140/ 164/ 17.1/ 12
U.S. dollar versus Japanese yen exchange rate
89.76/ 82.03/ -8.6%/ 2
U.S. money supply, M1, in billions (curr = 12/10 preliminary)
1,575.1/ 1,865.7/ 18.4%/ 13
U.S. money supply, M2, in billions (curr = 12/10 preliminary)
8,310.9/ 8,852.3/ 6.5%/ 13
National debt, in trillions
$10.627/ $14.052/ 32.2%/ 14
Sources:
1 - U.S. Energy Information Admin.
2 - Wall Street Journal
3 - Bureau of Labor Statistics
4 - Census Bureau
5 - USDA
6 - U.S. Dept. of Labor
7 - FHFA
8 - Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller
9 - RealtyTrac
10 - Heritage Foundation and WSJ
11 - The Conference Board
12 - FDIC
13 - Federal Reserve
14 - U.S. Treasury
Labels: Liberalism, Obama, Socialism, Spending
Thursday, December 03, 2009
Comments on the Day
Some quick comments on the issues of the day:
Afghanistan: At least there is something to this Obama plan--30,000 men! I question the reasons for this surge, since it seems to be neither a thrust to win nor a signal of our leaving. It is more like a delaying action, but with few concrete objectives to look for downstream.
Economy: The unemployment keeps rising along with the debt, and the dollar keeps falling. Yet, this Administration is hell-bent on passing further expensive legislation. We are in Wonderland!
Obamacare: This 2,000 page monstrosity is being debated now. It should be scrapped. The government should bow out of a sixth of the economy and a certain trillion dollar or more addition to the debt.
Cap and Trade: Just to make things a bit more hairy, Obama and cronies are trying to pass this onerous bill that will increase the national debt while not curing the AGW fable one whit. It will, of course, make billionaires out of a few.
I shudder to think of what is next up in this wild world of liberal fantasies becoming true.
Labels: Comments on the day, Global Warming, Health Debate, Spending, The Leftwing